Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 69.733910 78.665488 87.820639 97.874374 108.573283 119.589091 131.758932
2025-06-01 56.092084 68.894951 82.632856 98.338133 115.669705 134.096702 155.056559
2025-06-08 46.864258 61.594710 77.969666 97.249249 119.072865 142.781389 170.263188
2025-06-15 41.273846 57.550782 76.197519 98.686216 124.657621 153.341668 187.063393
2025-06-22 36.905280 54.367498 74.926855 100.250824 130.000218 163.311197 202.926038
2025-06-29 32.054276 50.083976 71.928230 99.415173 132.253071 169.512310 214.308660
2025-07-06 27.251097 45.387191 68.037236 97.166606 132.553809 173.226877 222.641571
2025-07-13 25.675884 44.722434 69.010232 100.702856 139.625696 184.733414 239.898917
2025-07-20 23.692577 43.312752 68.890836 102.772171 144.845928 194.010238 254.531758
2025-07-27 20.957043 40.612531 66.913989 102.359687 146.927920 199.487541 264.655522
2025-08-03 18.380790 37.899779 64.736499 101.537927 148.383533 204.124480 273.716401
2025-08-10 16.597734 36.193512 63.787872 102.196219 151.595416 210.811690 285.163185
2025-08-17 14.535803 33.894162 61.927115 101.611775 153.244106 215.643531 294.477652
2025-08-24 12.964474 32.219729 60.835877 101.967957 156.031112 221.834088 305.413442
2025-08-31 11.154647 29.949585 58.749683 100.874200 156.878465 225.583076 313.361524
2025-09-07 10.198852 29.044183 58.584875 102.339285 160.983813 233.325564 326.128609
2025-09-14 9.362562 28.262276 58.546416 103.937986 165.237903 241.241475 339.107468
2025-09-21 8.043162 26.422609 56.801537 103.084331 166.229109 245.055584 347.062140
2025-09-28 6.573446 24.067530 54.113218 100.787219 165.229453 246.310396 351.831971
2025-10-05 6.397955 24.342239 55.570744 104.399625 172.083286 257.462097 368.782658
2025-10-12 5.954885 23.992928 55.997715 106.512992 176.929509 266.081090 382.625249
2025-10-19 5.110239 22.635934 54.712541 106.091757 178.338132 270.320401 391.045298
2025-10-26 4.291595 21.187418 53.186734 105.252518 179.134765 273.748304 398.437910